Home Sales Up Foreclosures Going Up: Sunday Morning Thoughts 22 January 2012

22 Jan
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Home sales ended 2011 with an overall gain.  Mostly due to lower affordable prices, low-interest rates and a better outlook on the foreseeable job market.  It looks as though a real estate recovery is underway.

Homes sales were up but real estate prices were down and with the foreclosure crisis reigniting itself prices are due to go to new lows.  Many of the current sales for homes have been from foreclosures.   Short sales, once the dreaded enemy of many impatient investors is now the vehicle by which many real estate assets have been purchased and at hefty discounted prices for the more savvy investors.

So has flipping properties become a thing of the past?

Not at all flipping in a depressed market is still alive and well, and a well used strategy for many investors.  Only change has been the rules by which a flip can be done, but flipping nonetheless is still a viable practice.  Not all of the would-be homeowners will be able to negotiate with banks for a foreclosure let alone negotiate a short sale.

With more banks heating up the foreclosure pot, inventory is set to rise, more and more real estate deals will be sourced and made by savvy investors and home buyers alike.

But most foreclosures are sold by realtors.

Not all realtors can move foreclose properties, if the area is inundated with foreclosures a confused buyer may fall out of escrow on a few properties before finally deciding which property to close on.

So although the bleakness seems to be disappearing in some real estate markets, it is a matter of time before another cooling period will begin.

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The Return of Foreclosures: Sunday Morning Thoughts 15 January 2012

15 Jan
U.S. Subprime lending expanded dramatically 20...

Foreclosure is back and in a big way.

Many lenders took a lot of flack for the robo-signing of foreclosures.  But now with all the waiting and re evaluating period coming to an end, the banks will be stepping up the pace of foreclosures, thus creating a bigger real estate surplus.  All types of real estate from residential to underdeveloped land and everything between.

How will it all impact housing, buying, selling of real estate, and an investor’s bottom line in real estate?

The current buyers market will continue, but the heating up of the market will still be in the distant future due to the stricter changes in lending.

A new bottom may develop in some areas with more foreclosures due to enter the real estate market.

What is a possible strategy for buying properties in this weird market?

Being flexible.

Flexibility in your thinking of purchasing and owning real estate will be a necessity.  Buying and holding, leasing, and renting are all standards in real estate, but now the implementation of those standards will have to be examined.

Start thinking out of the box, because frankly, the box is an ever-changing structure and the rules are temporarily set in stone as we await the other shoe falling in our global economy.

But there is another question on the horizon, “What is going to happen with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac?”

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Inflation of the Dollar and the Effects on Real Estate: Sunday Morning Thoughts 08 January 2012

8 Jan
Deutsch: One Dollar Münze, 1972

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When in times of inflation not only does the dollar lose value, but real estate values will almost always go down.  Now factoring in the housing crisis which has created a housing glut plus interest rates staying low to no movement upward, this is possibly one of the best times to invest in real estate.

Times only look bleak, if you chose to place your money in a mattress, instead of having the dollar work for you.  There are many deals and duds in the real estate market of today.  But how can one navigate and discern what would be a good, great or bad investment.

Location, Location, LOCATION.

This really means to know whether or not the real estate investment is in a great location for its specific type.

For example, you would not open a night club in a family oriented neighborhood; business would probably never take off the way you would want it to.  Another example, you would not open a grocery store in a warehouse district where houses were not close by.  Nor would you consider opening a nursery school within 5 miles of a state prison.  Not too many people would build a multi million dollar mansion in an area where the neighboring houses were valued at $100,000 maximum.

The aforementioned are just not sound investments.

Considering the location for the purpose of the real estate, should be the leading factor in evaluating and moving forward with a purchase.

So in our current economy, which may see further devaluation of the dollar and a subsequent falling of real estate values in some areas, where could someone invest their money to have a decent return?

To be able to “play” the stock market, one would have to know a great fund manager, stock broker or be skilled in the nuances of the stock market.  For real estate making creative deals and using creative financing can yield a worthy and profitable return.

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Merry Christmas: Sunday Morning Thoughts 25 December 2011

25 Dec
Christ Mormon

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This is the last Sunday Morning Thoughts for this year. 

As we all have finished the shopping for presents and the rushing in preparation for the holidays, one would ask, did you remember the reason, what are you doing this for??

Do you remember why you rush around buying presents, preparing a feast, saying the words “Merry Christmas”, with a big smile and joy in your heart?

Many lose sight of this being the world celebrated birthday of the Christ Child.  Seriously, have you ever said or thought “Happy Birthday Christ, and thank you” (that’s between you and God) but give a moment in prayer/pause to the reason we say and celebrate Christmas.

Just think if it were your birthday and people gathered eating food, playing games, and ignoring you, would you have an issue.  This post is not to make anyone feel guilty or bad about enjoying Christmas, it is a time to celebrate and be celebrated. 

So to all of our readers whether Christian, Jew, Muslim, Buddhist, Creationist, Pagan, Atheist, etc may you all be blessed. 

Merry Christmas to You.

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Minimizing Investment Risk with Options: Sunday Morning Thoughts 18 December 2011

18 Dec

Finance mazeOptions are a great way to limit risk when entering into a market.  Stock options are similar to options in real estate, in that it is a way to minimize risk while maximizing your return on investment.

In simple terms, an option is a financial derivative that represents a contract sold by one party to another party.  The contract offers the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy a security or other financial asset at an agreed upon price during a certain period of time or on a specific date.

With stock options, there is a more detailed explanation for put and call options, each is its own strategy with a given stock during a given market for said stock.  For the purpose of this post we will not go into great detail of call and put option strategies.

A real estate option, in simple terms is the right to buy a property by the end of the option period.  If the property goes down in price by the end of the option period, the only investment at risk was the money put down for the option to purchase.  So if the deal goes south then you can walk away with losing a small amount versus owning the property and losing a substantial amount of an investment.

This is a similar type of risk minimizing strategy as with buying a stock option (whether a call or a put) and selling the option prior to its expiration versus buying and owning a stock.

The general strategy is to minimize risk while maximizing potential profit.

One difference with a stock option and a real estate option is the measure of volatility.  Real estate values do fluctuate a lot less than stock values during the same period of time.

A stock can be purchased at the opening bell, and then can have a change in value for better or worse by 20% or more within a few minutes.  Real estate values change at a slower pace, it is not likely for a home owner to go to sleep in a home worth $100,000 then find out by morning the price of the home has plummeted to $80,000.

Although a drastic change in value may happen in a quarter, it is not likely to change too significantly in one day; foreclosure areas are a good example of this.

As areas began experiencing a rise in foreclosures, the home prices began falling.  If a homeowner, not in distress, wanted to sell their property, the time to sell would be when the distressed neighbors are in pre-foreclosure, or when the area had little to no foreclosures.  Once the foreclosed property hits the market, the lender would first attempt to sell the property at market value, and then would begin entertaining reasonable lower offers on the property.

In the same scenario, if a person wanted to purchase a property and real estate market values were beginning to fall, instead of out right purchasing the property they could obtain a lease with the option to purchase the property, and in so doing they would limit the risk of owning a property that would be worth less than its purchase price.  If they purchase a property which is losing value the result could be less equity, no equity, or upside on their mortgage.

With a real estate option the potential buyer could just say no to the purchase, and walk away without having to lose anything more than the option payment.

With a real estate option it is much easier to enter and exit an opportunity than stock options, were you would have to sell your option to another buyer, and if there isn’t a buyer for when you need/ want to sell then you are stuck with your option.

Time is the enemy of options traders.

For real estate options time is a factor depending on your contract.  Some contracts ask for a 30 day notice for exercising or not exercising your option to purchase.

As a private lender for a property, the retail seller (borrower) would have to do all the “heavy lifting” of finding and evaluating the buyer/ leasee.

As a private lender you would still collect interest payments on a property as agreed, regardless of the retail seller (borrower) finding a person to buy, or lease with the option to purchase the property.

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Diversifying Your Stock Portfolio with Real Estate: Sunday Morning Thoughts 04 December 2011

4 Dec

Stock Market Fortune CookieMany stock market investors are beginning to diversify their current stock portfolios with real estate.  REIT’s are gaining a renewed interest among stock holders.  Not all REIT’s are created equal.  The one REIT with the best gaining potential is multi-family.  Whereas mortgage REIT’s are obviously not considered a sound investment at this time due to the housing glut.

Multifamily REIT’s are not necessarily a bullish investment, but they are expected to see more gains in the coming year.   With the current drop in unemployment, and the overall stabilizing of our economy one could wonder, has the bottom been reached and when will we begin experiencing an upward movement in the real estate recovery?

The foreclosure waves have not finished.

In previous posts we touched on commercial foreclosures barely getting started.  There will be more commercial foreclosures in the New Year, for both commercial and residential.

So why diversify my portfolio with a “loser investment”?

Real Estate is not a losing proposition.  Now is the time to invest in many, many lucrative deals, especially when it comes to multifamily.  A lot of commercial lenders are going to foreclose on commercial properties due to over leverage, or the property has become an alligator due to neglectful management.  Either way once a commercial property becomes a losing investment and a loan is due a reassessment then the lender may not re-qualify the original owners for a new loan or extension of the same loan.

During the residential housing boom there was a commercial, multi- family housing, boom as well.  Interest only loans and low down payments made it easy for a novice to enter the commercial market.  Now with the market reassessing itself, many of the same novice owners have had an obscene rise in vacancy rates, and even worse deferred in maintenance.

From the banks perspective if a commercial investment is losing tenants, and has deferred maintenance and is now unable to support itself on its Net Operating Income, then when the reassessment time arrives an owner may lose the property even if current on payments.  For a commercial property, the net operating income will still have to support its debt.

So how can this scenario be avoided?

Do not defer maintenance, keep your tenants happy, and have an outstanding management team.  This can be the difference in apartment community having no vacancies while the other community has an abnormally high vacancy rate.

So if you are in vesting in a REIT then you may want to consider investing in something as a private lender only so you can be closer to the actual investment.

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Do you have a Diversified Portfolio?: Sunday Morning Thoughts 19 November 2011

20 Nov
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 What Does Diversification Mean?
A risk management technique, that mixes a wide variety of investments within a portfolio. The rationale behind this technique contends that a portfolio of different kinds of investments will, on average, yield higher returns and pose a lower risk than any individual investment found within the portfolio.

Diversification strives to smooth out unsystematic risk events in a portfolio so that the positive performance of some investments will neutralize the negative performance of others. Therefore, the benefits of diversification will hold only if the securities in the portfolio are not perfectly correlated.
Read more: http://www.investopedia.com/terms/d/diversification.asp#ixzz1eDze88iz 

Since we are a real estate investment company we will use the definition in regards to stocks and real estate. 

When considering which types of real estate investments to make most people run for the fix a residential property and then flip said property, with as little holding time as possible.  This strategy still holds even in this current down economy, provided the end buyer can qualify for the loan.  

If the end buyer does not qualify for conventional financing, the transaction is not a lost cause, but an investor will have to consider other strategies which will help the end buyer purchase the property in as little time as possible.  “Flipping” properties is still doable in this current economy but a little more creativity may be needed to structure the deal to be beneficial for seller and buyer.

In real estate diversifying your portfolio requires a little more foresight than just buying and flipping residential properties.  To not have your investments become a job, one must also consider holding properties for cash flow, and appreciation; an ideal situation, which can be achieved.  

But a portfolio of only fixing and flipping is very one sided.  To be better well-rounded one would consider buying multi-units, such as 5units or more, better known as apartments.  In this current economy the need for apartments is on the rise in some areas, plus the commercial market is due for a similar fate as the housing market, making apartments a more lucrative investment.  People who are on the wrong side of a foreclosure still need a place to live.  Renting an apartment or house is the next best option for most. 

To make and/or keep your real estate portfolio diversified make sound investments in residential and commercial with holding properties for the future appreciation while they cash flow in the present

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Bull or Bear Market, Food For Thought: Sunday Morning Thoughts 13 November 2011

13 Nov
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The day before Thanksgiving many of us will be preparing our homes to receive guests, or making the trek to a friend, or relatives gathering.

But the 23rd of November is D-day for the congressional debt committee.

There are many factors to consider:

Will Greece’s economy fail, causing them to no longer have credit whereby having to move to an all cash system?

What will be the outcome of the Italian issue, and its subsequent effect on the global economy?

There are many questions, with speculations disguised as answers.

The bigger question, what are you going to do about your situation?  Your personal finances are just as important as the global economy because you are a part of that same deteriorating economy. 

What are some of the ways you plan to protect the money you currently have from the future impending inflation, and will you still gain interest on your money?  Will it be enough to either live off of, or will you use it to build for the future?

With the rocking and rolling of the stock market, should you place your money in bonds?  But didn’t the analyst say the bond market is a bubble waiting to burst?

Should you move to tangible assets such as gold, silver, etc.? 

Will futures be the new ‘now’ market for growing an income, or retirement portfolio?

What’s happening with mutual funds?

The answer to all of these questions is everything has a cycle.  Study the cycles and you may be able to predict an outcome.

The stock market currently appears to be in a sideways pattern and with a new cycle starting around the year 2016, but what type of cycle will it be?

Are we in for a Bull or Bear market future?
Only time can really tell.

All bubbles do burst eventually, the futures market may be having gains at this time of the year, and gold’s value is through the roof and moving higher with silver riding its coattails. Mutual funds are currently stagnating, but some will gain with the shifts of the S and P.

Real Estate is still a viable consideration for investing, if done wisely.  The area, growth rate, employment, and expanding or shrinking housing availability are factors when considering an investment property. 

With all time lows on residential and commercial property it would only make sense to have an implemented strategy to invest in real estate.

If you decide to buy a house to rent out, check to make sure other homeowners are not doing the same thing, and if so then how many other homes will be for rent and at what price.

If you decide to invest in an apartment then check to see if there is a shadow market from residential.  If a shadow market exists, how much of an impact will it have on being able to rent your units, and still being able to not only break even on the new investment but also realize a profit?

For which ever investment vehicle you are going to utilize to guard against an uncertain future, ensure you weigh all the pros and cons and make an investment choice which will work for you, yielding you appreciation in the present and future.

Knowing what you know now, would you have invested in the stock market and real estate after the crash in the early 1900’s?

As with all cycles and time, change is always on the horizon.

 

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Profiting as a Real Estate Private Lender

26 Jun

Real estate investing does have its risks, but with a properly structured deal, the risks can be kept to a minimum, making the return on investment reach maximum potential.  A private lender should never allow their investment to be the down payment on a property.  Instead having a seller held second if a down payment is still needed is a better option, but it should not be lender money.  A second position is riskier than a first position but a down payment position, the money is not secured by the asset and possibly not collateralized.

There can also be a primary position coupled with being an equity partner.  As an equity partner, a private lender will contribute to the down payment in return for a percentage of equity in the property.  This strategy tends to lessen any down payment issues since it’s shared, while reducing risk of the down payment money by having an equity partnership in the property.

Syndication is also a possibility if you have a group of people wanting to invest and everyone in the group is contributing varying amounts of capital.  If an equity position is also in play, then the syndicate would be the equity partner, not just a few of the members.

The other consideration for impact on your return of investment would be fees.  Fees accompany many investments such as CD’s, Stocks, bonds, etc.  Those fees can cut into your final profit.  With private lending, secured by realty, there is a tendency to not have maintenance, origination, or any other type of fees involved.

In conclusion, as a private lender, after being presented with a deal, then checking the numbers for yourself, remember to keep in mind:

These are just a few tips for being a private lender in real estate with minimal effort.  Keeping these tips in mind may aid in the reaping of the rewards on your investment. 

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